Genoa vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTK
Genoa 2-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa edged past Roma 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Genoa had 36% of the ball to Roma's 64%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.75 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genoa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Genoa and 1.67 for Roma.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Roma?
Genoa 2-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Genoa 26%, draw 27%, Roma 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5 went the other way.