Genoa vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Genoa v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Genoa 2-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa found just enough to beat Roma 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Roma saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.75 to 0.35 — on chances created, Genoa won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Genoa against 1.67 for Roma.
Genoa vs Roma Result & Final Score
Genoa 2 - 1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Genoa vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Genoa 21%, draw 31%, Roma 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.