Roma vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTK
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-2
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
1-3
HT 0-1
Roma
İTA
Roma 1-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Roma edged past Genoa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Roma had 54% of the ball to Genoa's 46%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 0.83 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roma and 0.83 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Roma vs Genoa?
Roma 1-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Roma 52%, draw 26%, Genoa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.