Inter 1-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 May 2024

Inter
1-1 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
7%
10.65
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
8%
7.98
2/X
6%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.65
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.8 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lazio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.25 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
513 Passes 397
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2024 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTSK
17.12.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
30.04.2023 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
26.08.2022 Lazio Lazio 3-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.01.2022 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.10.2021 Lazio Lazio 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
1-1
AWAY Lazio
1.46 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
518 Passes 351
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter and Lazio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter had 58% of the ball to Lazio's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.46 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter and 1.33 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Inter vs Lazio?

Inter 1-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Inter 56%, draw 23%, Lazio 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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