Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.42
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
13%
6.05
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.24
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.37/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 20.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
432 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
16.04.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
19.01.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
21.11.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
31.01.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
20.09.2020 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
0-2
AWAY Cagliari
0.27 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
237 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari beat Sassuolo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Cagliari made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 50% of the ball to Cagliari's 50%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.27 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.17 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cagliari?

Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 37%, draw 27%, Cagliari 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sassuolo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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