Monza 0-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 May 2024

Monza
0-1 HT 0-1
Frosinone
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Monza vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.24
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
9%
6.59
X/2
10%
5.27
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.09
2/X
9%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.10/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/4.00
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.7 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Monza vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Frosinone
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
358 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 2-3 HT 0-2 Monza Monza İTA
07.08.2022 Monza Monza 3-2 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTK
25.04.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 4-1 HT 2-1 Monza Monza İTB
11.12.2021 Monza Monza 3-2 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.03.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 1-2 Monza Monza İTB
07.11.2020 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB

Monza 0-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.02 xG 2.06
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
518 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone nicked a narrow win over Monza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Frosinone found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Monza had 71% of the ball to Frosinone's 29%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.02 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monza had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monza and 2.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Monza vs Frosinone?

Monza 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Monza 34%, draw 28%, Frosinone 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ BTTS Yes
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