Udinese 1-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
12%
7.82
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
13%
6.78
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.68/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.2 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
11.03.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
04.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 4-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.12.2021 Empoli Empoli 3-1 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.04.2019 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 3-2 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-1
AWAY Empoli
1.74 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
225 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese and Empoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Udinese had 47% of the ball to Empoli's 53%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.74 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Udinese and 1.17 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Empoli?

Udinese 1-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Udinese 41%, draw 29%, Empoli 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Udinese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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