Roma vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTK
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-2
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
Roma 3-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Roma got the better of Genoa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Roma had 53% of the ball to Genoa's 47%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.57 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roma and 0.83 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Roma vs Genoa?
Roma 3-1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roma 55%, draw 23%, Genoa 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while BTTS No went the other way.