Genoa 1-1 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Sep 2024

Genoa
1-1 HT 0-1
Roma
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.07
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
11%
6.53
X/2
16%
4.6
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.09
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.02
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.5 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Roma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.50 xG 1.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
296 Passes 447
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
28.09.2023 Genoa Genoa 4-1 HT 2-1 Roma Roma İTA
12.01.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTK
05.02.2022 Roma Roma 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
21.11.2021 Genoa Genoa 0-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
07.03.2021 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
1-1
AWAY Roma
1.25 xG 2.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 30
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa and Roma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Genoa had 49% of the ball to Roma's 51%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.25 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Roma.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Roma?

Genoa 1-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genoa 34%, draw 28%, Roma 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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