Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Atalanta
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta edged past Fiorentina 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Atalanta had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina's 49%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.65 to 1.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atalanta and 1.50 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Fiorentina?
Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 47%, draw 25%, Fiorentina 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.