Bologna 1-2 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
20%
3.91
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
16%
4.64
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
6%
9.79
2/X
7%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.4 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
450 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2026 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-3 HT 1-3 Bologna Bologna İTA
09.03.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
30.12.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-3 HT 1-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
23.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
18.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1-2
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.30 xG 2.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
390 Passes 138
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona squeezed past Bologna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bologna had 63% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 37%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.30 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bologna and 1.00 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Bologna 1-2 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bologna 53%, draw 28%, Hellas Verona 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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