Hellas Verona 1-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.52
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
11%
9.72
X/2
16%
4.09
X/X
10%
4.25
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.26
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.03/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.73
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.6 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bologna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 475
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-3 HT 1-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
23.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
18.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.04.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
22.12.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-2
AWAY Bologna
1.16 xG 1.32
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
177 Passes 481
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 20
2 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna squeezed past Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 32% of the ball to Bologna's 68%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.16 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.33 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Bologna?

Hellas Verona 1-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 25%, draw 26%, Bologna 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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