Empoli vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
7-0
HT 3-0
Empoli
İTA
2-0
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
2-4
HT 0-4
Roma
İTA
Empoli 0-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Roma edged past Empoli 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Empoli had 36% of the ball to Roma's 64%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.11 to 1.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Empoli and 2.83 for Roma.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Roma?
Empoli 0-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Empoli 27%, draw 30%, Roma 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.