Juventus 0-4 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
19%
5.8
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
9%
4.05
2/X
8%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
0.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.15
-20% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
18.9 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atalanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 0.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 485
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTK
10.03.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.10.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
12.08.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ
07.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-4
AWAY Atalanta
0.89 xG 3.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
530 Passes 279
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta swept aside Juventus 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus had 63% of the ball to Atalanta's 37%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.89 to 3.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 0.50 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Atalanta?

Juventus 0-4 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventus 41%, draw 28%, Atalanta 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
9 Mar 2025
14:30 Hellas Verona vs Bologna Analysis →
17:00 Napoli vs Fiorentina Analysis →
20:00 Empoli vs Roma Analysis →