Atalanta 1-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.47 — our 25% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.49
X/2
10%
7.16
X/X
18%
3.91
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
7%
5.76
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.67/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.24
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.9 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Juventus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
464 Passes 387
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTK
10.03.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.10.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
12.08.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ
07.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
22.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 3-3 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1-1
AWAY Juventus
1.43 xG 1.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
586 Passes 365
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
38 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta and Juventus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atalanta had 60% of the ball to Juventus's 40%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.43 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atalanta and 1.33 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Juventus?

Atalanta 1-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 42%, draw 34%, Juventus 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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