Juventus 2-2 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
9%
6.4
X/X
9%
3.91
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
13%
5.05
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.30/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.9 Crosses 13.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atalanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
414 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
12.08.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ
07.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
22.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 3-3 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
13.02.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.11.2021 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-2
AWAY Atalanta
1.32 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
431 Passes 426
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Atalanta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventus had 51% of the ball to Atalanta's 49%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.32 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 0.83 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Atalanta?

Juventus 2-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventus 46%, draw 26%, Atalanta 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5
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