Milan vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
1-3
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
2-4
HT 1-2
Milan
İTA
3-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
Milan 1-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Milan squeezed past Empoli 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Milan had 62% of the ball to Empoli's 38%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.84 to 0.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Milan and 0.50 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Milan vs Empoli?
Milan 1-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Milan 49%, draw 26%, Empoli 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.