Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Mar 2024

Lecce
0-1 HT 0-1
Hellas Verona
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Lecce vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.02
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
7%
6.83
X/X
15%
3.72
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
5.61
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.16/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
-31% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.3 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lecce vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
304 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
07.05.2023 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
21.01.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.01.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
01.09.2019 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
26.02.2019 Lecce Lecce 2-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTB

Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.98 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
222 Passes 161
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Lecce 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lecce at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lecce had 56% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.98 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lecce and 1.67 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Hellas Verona?

Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lecce 42%, draw 30%, Hellas Verona 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lecce), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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