Bologna vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bologna v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Bologna 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bologna at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 48%.
On the day, Bologna had 67% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 33%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bologna.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 0.50 for Hellas Verona.
Bologna vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score
Bologna 2 - 3 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bologna vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bologna 64%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 13%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.