Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Dec 2024

Bologna
2-3 HT 1-2
Hellas Verona
📅30/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Bologna vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.7
X/2
6%
12.3
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
10.3
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.85
Value flag · 2/X at 17.85 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bologna v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.47
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.6 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Bologna vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 1.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
450 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
18.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.04.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
22.12.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna HAZ
21.08.2022 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA

Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
2-3
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.29 xG 0.84
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
379 Passes 150
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Bologna 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bologna had 67% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 33%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bologna.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 0.50 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bologna 53%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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