Hellas Verona 2-3 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Jan 2026

📅15/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.86
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
8%
7.36
X/2
18%
4.8
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.01
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.98/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.89
-19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.3 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bologna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.47
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
217 Passes 476
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
30.12.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-3 HT 1-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
23.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
18.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.04.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
2-3
AWAY Bologna
1.21 xG 0.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 436
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 39% of the ball to Bologna's 61%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.21 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hellas Verona.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.50 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Bologna?

Hellas Verona 2-3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 24%, draw 28%, Bologna 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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