Fiorentina 0-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
24%
4.3
X/2
6%
9.62
X/X
15%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.8
2/2
9%
7.81
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.32
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.3 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Parma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
434 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.12.2025 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
13.04.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
17.08.2024 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
06.12.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 0-2 Parma Parma İTK
20.07.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 Parma Parma HAZ
07.03.2021 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-3 HT 2-1 Parma Parma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-0
AWAY Parma
1.42 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
445 Passes 328
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Parma fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fiorentina had 56% of the ball to Parma's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fiorentina and 1.33 for Parma.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Parma?

Fiorentina 0-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 55%, draw 25%, Parma 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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