Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Parma
İTK
1-1
Parma
HAZ
3-3
HT 2-1
Parma
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
Parma 1-0 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Parma edged past Fiorentina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Parma had 42% of the ball to Fiorentina's 58%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 0.95 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 1.17 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Parma vs Fiorentina?
Parma 1-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Parma 32%, draw 25%, Fiorentina 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.