Udinese 1-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.97
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.13
X/2
13%
5.1
X/X
13%
3.44
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.74
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · X/1 at 6.13 — our 19% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.13/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.26
-3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.4 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lazio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
292 Passes 434
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
24.08.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-1 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.01.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
21.05.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.10.2022 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-1
AWAY Lazio
0.87 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese and Lazio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Udinese had 46% of the ball to Lazio's 54%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Udinese and 1.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Lazio?

Udinese 1-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Udinese 34%, draw 28%, Lazio 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lazio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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