Lecce 0-3 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Dec 2025

Lecce
0-3 HT 0-1
Como
📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Lecce vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.52
6+ Goals
11%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.63
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
9%
8.81
X/2
18%
4.23
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.49
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.65
Value flag · 2/X at 14.65 — our 9% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.06/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.62
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.0 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Lecce vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Como
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.35 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
347 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Lecce Lecce 0-3 HT 0-1 Como Como İTA
30.12.2024 Como Como 2-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
13.08.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTK
05.02.2022 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTB
29.08.2021 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB

Lecce 0-3 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-3
AWAY Como
0.76 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
207 Passes 395
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como swept aside Lecce 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lecce had 38% of the ball to Como's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Lecce and 1.40 for Como.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Como?

Lecce 0-3 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lecce 25%, draw 27%, Como 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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