Torino 1-2 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.24
X/2
7%
9.12
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
6%
7.81
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.23/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.59
-31% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.2 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2025 Torino Torino 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
20.10.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 Torino Torino İTA
26.01.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 0-2 Torino Torino İTA
21.08.2023 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.02.2022 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
06.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-2
AWAY Cagliari
1.60 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
380 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torino vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari nicked a narrow win over Torino 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Torino carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torino had 56% of the ball to Cagliari's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.93 — on chances, Torino could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torino and 1.17 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Torino vs Cagliari?

Torino 1-2 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Torino 55%, draw 26%, Cagliari 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Under 2.5
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