Cagliari 3-2 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Oct 2024

Cagliari
3-2
Torino
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Cagliari vs Torino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
11%
5.09
X/2
14%
6.45
X/X
17%
3.82
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
4.74
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Torino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.55/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.11
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
27.5 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cagliari vs Torino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Torino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 328
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 0-2 Torino Torino İTA
21.08.2023 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.02.2022 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
06.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
19.02.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
18.10.2020 Torino Torino 2-3 HT 1-2 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 3-2 Torino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
3-2
AWAY Torino
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 12
286 Passes 415
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari squeezed past Torino 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cagliari found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cagliari had 42% of the ball to Torino's 58%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Torino.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Torino?

Cagliari 3-2 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 37%, draw 32%, Torino 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cagliari) ✗ Under 2.5
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