Empoli vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Napoli — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
0-2
HT 0-2
Napoli
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
3-2
HT 0-1
Napoli
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
Empoli 0-1 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli nicked a narrow win over Empoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Empoli had 50% of the ball to Napoli's 50%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.71 to 1.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 1.00 for Napoli.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Napoli?
Empoli 0-1 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Napoli?
Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Empoli 26%, draw 27%, Napoli 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.