Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.85
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
15%
6.4
X/2
18%
4.79
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.22
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.27/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.23
-18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.2 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 391
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Lecce Lecce 3-2 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
27.08.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
19.03.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
17.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
15.07.2020 Lecce Lecce 1-3 HT 0-3 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
30.11.2019 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-6
AWAY Fiorentina
0.23 xG 2.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 3
279 Passes 509
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina cruised past Lecce 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce had 39% of the ball to Fiorentina's 61%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.23 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lecce and 1.50 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lecce 31%, draw 27%, Fiorentina 42%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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