Roma 0-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.74
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
7%
7.92
X/2
16%
4.49
X/X
16%
4.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.57
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.30/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.15
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +24%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.6 Crosses 17.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
376 Passes 451
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Roma Roma 2-4 HT 2-1 Inter Inter İTA
29.10.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.05.2023 Roma Roma 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
01.10.2022 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
23.04.2022 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
08.02.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
0-1
AWAY Inter
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
420 Passes 335
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Roma vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter squeezed past Roma 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Roma had 55% of the ball to Inter's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Roma and 2.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Roma vs Inter?

Roma 0-1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roma 30%, draw 27%, Inter 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5
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