Venezia 0-2 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Oct 2024

Venezia
0-2
Atalanta
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Venezia vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.66
1/2
8%
20.65
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
6%
11.9
X/2
10%
3.84
X/X
13%
6.41
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.86
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.53/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.89
+27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
15.2 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Venezia vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 2.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
324 Passes 478
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.04.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-3 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
12.01.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTK
30.11.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 4-0 HT 2-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
01.02.2004 Venezia Venezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTB
08.10.2003 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
24.03.2002 Venezia Venezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Venezia 0-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
0-2
AWAY Atalanta
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
291 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta saw off Venezia 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 42% of the ball to Atalanta's 58%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Venezia and 1.67 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Atalanta?

Venezia 0-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Venezia 25%, draw 25%, Atalanta 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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