Roma 2-4 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Feb 2024

Roma
2-4 HT 2-1
Inter
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Roma vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.5
1/2
6%
24.6
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
9%
8.36
X/2
16%
4.09
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roma v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.25/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.13
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.7 Crosses 18.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Roma vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
362 Passes 489
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.05.2023 Roma Roma 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
01.10.2022 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
23.04.2022 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
08.02.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTK
04.12.2021 Roma Roma 0-3 HT 0-3 Inter Inter İTA

Roma 2-4 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-4
AWAY Inter
0.68 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
410 Passes 485
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roma vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter saw off Roma 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma had 47% of the ball to Inter's 53%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.68 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Roma and 2.00 for Inter.

What was the final score of Roma vs Inter?

Roma 2-4 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Roma 25%, draw 29%, Inter 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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