Sassuolo 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.74
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
6.28
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.16
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.11/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
15.7 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Torino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 2.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
03.04.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
17.09.2022 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
23.01.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
17.09.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
17.03.2021 Torino Torino 3-2 HT 0-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-1
AWAY Torino
0.43 xG 1.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 425
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo and Torino shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo had 41% of the ball to Torino's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.43 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Torino.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Torino?

Sassuolo 1-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 36%, draw 26%, Torino 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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