Cagliari 1-3 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Feb 2024

Cagliari
1-3 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.27
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
13%
6.78
X/2
15%
4.46
X/X
8%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.92
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.18/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.14
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.8 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cagliari vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Lazio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.96
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
264 Passes 491
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
05.03.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 0-3 HT 0-2 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.09.2021 Lazio Lazio 2-2 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
07.02.2021 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
26.09.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
23.07.2020 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 1-3 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-3
AWAY Lazio
0.78 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
383 Passes 497
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio got the better of Cagliari 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lazio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cagliari had 45% of the ball to Lazio's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cagliari and 1.83 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Lazio?

Cagliari 1-3 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 34%, draw 27%, Lazio 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5
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