Udinese 2-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.76
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.3
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.29
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.12/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.14
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.2 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lazio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
309 Passes 514
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.01.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
21.05.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.10.2022 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
20.02.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
18.01.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
2-1
AWAY Lazio
0.85 xG 1.31
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 13
190 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese nicked a narrow win over Lazio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Udinese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Udinese had 35% of the ball to Lazio's 65%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.85 to 1.31 — on chances, Lazio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Udinese and 1.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Lazio?

Udinese 2-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Udinese 35%, draw 26%, Lazio 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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