Monza 0-1 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Aug 2024

Monza
0-1 HT 0-1
Genoa
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Monza vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
19%
5.34
X/2
17%
5.64
X/X
14%
3.8
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
4.14
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.04/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.11
-61% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.4 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Monza vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Genoa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
302 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-3 HT 0-2 Monza Monza İTA
10.12.2023 Monza Monza 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
08.04.2001 Monza Monza 1-5 HT 0-2 Genoa Genoa İTB
12.11.2000 Genoa Genoa 3-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB

Monza 0-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-1
AWAY Genoa
0.44 xG 0.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
563 Passes 213
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monza vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa squeezed past Monza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Genoa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monza had 70% of the ball to Genoa's 30%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.44 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monza and 2.50 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Monza vs Genoa?

Monza 0-1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monza 38%, draw 29%, Genoa 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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