Lazio 1-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.41
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
14%
8.76
X/X
9%
4.52
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
7%
7.02
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.34/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.70
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.4 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Udinese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
452 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-1 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.01.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
21.05.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.10.2022 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
20.02.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1-1
AWAY Udinese
1.24 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
385 Passes 387
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio and Udinese shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lazio had 49% of the ball to Udinese's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.24 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lazio and 1.00 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Udinese?

Lazio 1-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lazio 45%, draw 25%, Udinese 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lazio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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