Fiorentina 0-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

Fiorentina
0-0 HT 0-0
Parma
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.25
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.31
X/2
10%
9.68
X/X
13%
4.89
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
9%
7.85
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.74/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.50
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.8 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fiorentina vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Parma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
451 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
06.12.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 0-2 Parma Parma İTK
20.07.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 Parma Parma HAZ
07.03.2021 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-3 HT 2-1 Parma Parma İTA
07.11.2020 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
05.07.2020 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-2 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Fiorentina 0-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-0
AWAY Parma
0.82 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
453 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Parma played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fiorentina had 57% of the ball to Parma's 43%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fiorentina and 1.33 for Parma.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Parma?

Fiorentina 0-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 47%, draw 29%, Parma 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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