Lazio vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 1-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio and Roma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Lazio had 47% of the ball to Roma's 53%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lazio and 0.50 for Roma.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Roma?
Lazio 1-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lazio 35%, draw 27%, Roma 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5 went the other way.