Roma vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
3-0
HT 3-0
Lazio
İTA
3-2
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
Roma 1-0 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Roma nicked a narrow win over Lazio 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Roma had 46% of the ball to Lazio's 54%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.71 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Roma and 1.00 for Lazio.
What was the final score of Roma vs Lazio?
Roma 1-0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Lazio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roma 45%, draw 29%, Lazio 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.