Empoli 3-2 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.07
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.49
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
10%
6.65
X/2
9%
4.42
X/X
18%
3.76
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
3.1
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.10/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.1 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Torino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Torino Torino 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
28.01.2023 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
09.10.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
01.05.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
02.12.2021 Torino Torino 2-2 HT 2-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.05.2019 Empoli Empoli 4-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
3-2
AWAY Torino
0.47 xG 2.18
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
203 Passes 448
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli edged past Torino 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli had 36% of the ball to Torino's 64%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.47 to 2.18 — on chances, Torino could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Empoli and 1.67 for Torino.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Torino?

Empoli 3-2 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Empoli 28%, draw 29%, Torino 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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