Milan vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Lecce
İTA
2-2
HT 2-0
Milan
İTA
1-4
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Lecce
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Lecce
İTA
Milan 3-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Milan swept aside Lecce 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Milan had 64% of the ball to Lecce's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Milan and 1.17 for Lecce.
What was the final score of Milan vs Lecce?
Milan 3-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Lecce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Milan 56%, draw 24%, Lecce 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.