Roma 2-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 Jan 2025

Roma
2-0 HT 2-0
Lazio
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
16%
6.25
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.39
2/X
8%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
1.46/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.30
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.2 Crosses 14.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lazio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
10.01.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTK
12.11.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
19.03.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.11.2022 Roma Roma 0-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
20.03.2022 Roma Roma 3-0 HT 3-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-0
AWAY Lazio
1.13 xG 0.87
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
222 Passes 503
82% Pass Accuracy 93%
10 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Roma vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma saw off Lazio 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Roma made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Roma had 33% of the ball to Lazio's 67%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.13 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roma and 0.50 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Roma vs Lazio?

Roma 2-0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roma 38%, draw 28%, Lazio 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5
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