Lecce 0-0 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 Jan 2025

Lecce
0-0 HT 0-0
Genoa
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.3
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.35
X/X
18%
3.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.97
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.10
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.5 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Genoa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
358 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
22.09.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
19.07.2020 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
08.12.2019 Lecce Lecce 2-2 HT 0-2 Genoa Genoa İTA
11.08.2018 Genoa Genoa 4-0 HT 4-0 Lecce Lecce İTK
04.03.2012 Lecce Lecce 2-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-0
AWAY Genoa
0.56 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
442 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce and Genoa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lecce had 63% of the ball to Genoa's 37%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.56 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lecce and 2.00 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Genoa?

Lecce 0-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lecce 35%, draw 32%, Genoa 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lecce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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