Atalanta 2-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

Atalanta
2-0 HT 2-0
Bologna
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.62
1/2
12%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.64
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1
11%
24.65
2/2
9%
6.13
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atalanta v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +24%
1.75/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.26
+20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.4 Crosses 13.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atalanta vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bologna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
400 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 0-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
28.09.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
03.03.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
23.12.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
08.04.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
09.01.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Atalanta 2-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
2-0
AWAY Bologna
0.98 xG 0.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta got the better of Bologna 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Atalanta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Atalanta had 40% of the ball to Bologna's 60%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.98 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atalanta and 1.33 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?

Atalanta 2-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 38%, draw 30%, Bologna 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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