05/08/2026
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Pianese vs Montevarchi Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
29%
Draw
19%
18%
Away Win
13%
48%
Under 2.5
41%
52%
Over 2.5
59%
64%
BTTS Yes
49%
36%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pianese v Montevarchi Calcio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pianese
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Montevarchi Calcio
EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
478 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
289 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pianese vs Montevarchi Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pianese got the better of Montevarchi Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pianese as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pianese vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Pianese 2-0 Montevarchi Calcio in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pianese vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pianese 53%, draw 29%, Montevarchi Calcio 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pianese)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
5 Aug 2026