Ponferradina 1-2 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Unionistas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
08.12.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 2-2 HT 0-2 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
02.02.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
07.09.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
10.02.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
18.11.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-2
AWAY Unionistas
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas edged past Ponferradina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ponferradina and 0.83 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Unionistas?

Ponferradina 1-2 Unionistas in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 48%, draw 24%, Unionistas 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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