Nacka Iliria 2-1 Kungsangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
2.73/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.74
+22% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kungsangen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.05.2025 Kungsangen Kungsangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacka Iliria
2-1
AWAY Kungsangen
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Kungsangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria nicked a narrow win over Kungsangen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacka Iliria as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Nacka Iliria had 58% of the ball to Kungsangen's 42%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Kungsangen?

Nacka Iliria 2-1 Kungsangen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Kungsangen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 61%, draw 23%, Kungsangen 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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