Kongahalla 1-1 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.42
Draw
12%
4.95
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
66%
+5.1pp
12%
Draw
17%
-5.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.04
-40% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongahalla
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 2-7 HT 1-4 Kongahalla İSÇ4
14.09.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 3-5 HT 1-4 Kongahalla İSÇ4
17.05.2024 Kongahalla 3-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongahalla
1-1
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongahalla and Vanersborgs IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kongahalla at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

On the day, Kongahalla had 67% of the ball to Vanersborgs IF's 33%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kongahalla had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Kongahalla and 1.67 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF?

Kongahalla 1-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongahalla vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Kongahalla 71%, draw 12%, Vanersborgs IF 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongahalla), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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