Vanersborgs IF 3-5 Kongahalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.82/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/2.28
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -46%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kongahalla
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
17.05.2024 Kongahalla 3-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongahalla saw off Vanersborgs IF 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongahalla as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Kongahalla?

Vanersborgs IF 3-5 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Kongahalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 23%, draw 24%, Kongahalla 53%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongahalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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