Kiruna FF 3-2 Algarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Algarna EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.14/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.86
-46% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiruna FF
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Algarna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
13.04.2024 Algarna Algarna 1-3 HT 0-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 3-0 HT 2-0 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Algarna Algarna 0-1 HT 0-0 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Algarna Algarna 2-1 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kiruna FF vs Algarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiruna FF nicked a narrow win over Algarna 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kiruna FF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kiruna FF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kiruna FF and 0.75 for Algarna.

What was the final score of Kiruna FF vs Algarna?

Kiruna FF 3-2 Algarna in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiruna FF vs Algarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kiruna FF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kiruna FF 41%, draw 26%, Algarna 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiruna FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kiruna FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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