Hittarps IK 1-0 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.0pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.2pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hittarps IK EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.82/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
-27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
295 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hittarps IK
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.05.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-0 HT 1-0 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
30.08.2023 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 2-1 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
02.04.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-2 HT 1-0 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
05.08.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-2 HT 2-0 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 3-2 HT 2-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hittarps IK vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hittarps IK edged past Varbergs GIF 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs GIF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Hittarps IK and 2.20 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Hittarps IK vs Varbergs GIF?

Hittarps IK 1-0 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hittarps IK vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hittarps IK 22%, draw 30%, Varbergs GIF 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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